|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Jan 29, 2011 15:16:14 GMT -5
I said the alliance of Candice, Coach, Lex, Frosti, Rupert, and Colleen would have a good shot of getting to the end together if they didn't get some competition, and now Coach is going to be blindsided at this TC, and he has played an awesome game, it does suck that it's another blindside like last season when he was Brett :/ but they realize that Coach out is the key in furthering themselves to the end cause they know that Colleen and Coach are pretty close.
|
|
|
|
Post by Amanda Kimmel on Jan 29, 2011 16:09:06 GMT -5
I actually think that getting rid of Elisabeth would be the smarter move here. By blindsiding Coach, they're completely turning this game on its head. This is going to be a total free-for-all.
What they should do is get rid of Elisabeth no questions asked. Then next round they should go to Morgan and Alina and blindside Coach THEN. An alliance of Frosti-Lex-Rupert-Alina-Morgan would take Colleen down the following round, followed by Candice and Rob.
This would be flawless execution if it worked. Rob isn't going to work with Alina. Alina isn't going to work with Colleen. Frosti-Lex-Rupert would be the final three without any hurdles. Rupert would probably get 2nd, and whichever of Frosti/Lex was in the finals would win the game.
Last time Frosti and Rupert were in the final two together, the vote was 7-0 in favor of Frosti. Lex hosted that game. Lex... well, let's just say he can get arrogant and he's being manipulative, so that may hurt him.
If Coach is indeed going this round (that's actually still up in the air by my calculations), I have NO idea what's going to happen down the line. We'll have a few distinct groups forming:
Frosti, Lex, and Rupert
Elisabeth and Morgan
Colleen and Candice
Alina
Rob C.
Alina and Rob C. will become the floaters. Rob isn't going to work with Morgan or Alina, and probably won't work with the trio that's lying to him, meaning he'll most likely end up with Colleen and Candice.
Alina doesn't like Colleen or Rob C. and she hates Rupert, so her best position is to go with the Three Musketeers or Elisabeth and Morgan. My guess is the former, since it grants her a better shot for the time being, and she'd be willing to put her thing with Rupert aside to work with Frosti and Lex.
Which means:
Frosti, Lex, Rupert, Alina
Elisabeth and Morgan
Colleen, Candice, and Rob C.
We might have a 4-3-2 vote with a TON of prizes on top of that. The auction is next round, and things are about to get REALLY messy.
I am so glad this is picking up. This season isn't a downer anymore - and let's hope I'm right and that it continues.
Even if Coach doesn't go this round (and Rob C. does by means of nullifiers and double votes)... things will get chaotic for sure.
And if Coach goes, he gets to give his bonus auction money to someone else. So that'll be interesting.
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Jan 29, 2011 23:45:13 GMT -5
Well that was one interesting blindside... I am super shocked that Coach left I expected him to get a lot further than 10th place, so now I'm sure the others are going to be scrambling knowing they are on the outs. Cesternino from what he is saying on AIM has a new alliance with Candice and Colleen, it's just so crazy how all the people that felt they were on top of the game like Cesternino are now scrambling to get into new alliances because they now know they are on the outs in this game.
This game is really starting to pick up now, and I'm sure that Round 11 is going to be interesting as hell, I cannot wait to see what happens next!
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Jan 31, 2011 0:59:07 GMT -5
Alright well this round, Candice is told me so many times that she feels on the outs, and I think really they have the chance to turn the game on it's head if they somehow manage to rope in 2 more voters (At this point, I'm sure they could maybe pull in Cesternino and Morgan, but it really depends cause Morgan and Cesternino don't get along.) Morgan however realizes she's in the center of two alliances and can swing to either to change the game, and swinging over to Lex/Frosti/Rupert seems would make her become a complete "Shambo" to that alliance, but I guess we will see what happens with the immunity challenge.
|
|
|
|
Post by Amanda Kimmel on Jan 31, 2011 13:51:08 GMT -5
Like I said:
Frosti, Lex, Rupert, Alina
Elisabeth and Morgan
Colleen, Candice, and Rob C.
This is pretty much what happened. Rob C. went RIGHT to Colleen and Candice. Drunk Alina gave Frosti her money. And Elisabeth in Morgan are right in the middle.
Strategically, it would be best for Elisabeth and Morgan to go to Candice and Colleen, then take Lex and Frosti or Rupert out. Then they could form an alliance with the one remaining and Alina, and then ditch Colleen and Candice.
Of course, I don't think those two can figure out how to do that, unfortunately.
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Jan 31, 2011 17:02:42 GMT -5
The way I see it now is this as far as the two big alliances go:
Alina/Rupert/Lex/Frosti - The alliance that are in control now since the boot of Coach.
Colleen/Candice/Cesternino - The alliance that is on the outs but with two more votes could easily take over.
Thing is, they need BOTH Elisabeth and Morgan if they will have any hope in overtaking the other two alliances cause that will make it 5-4.
Candice has a 3x nullifier so she could cancel out 3/4 of the alliances votes, but even if they rope in Morgan and Elisabeth (They being Lex/Frosti/Alina/Rupert) the 3x nullifiers wouldn't stop them from being majority.
|
|
|
|
Post by Toddy on Jan 31, 2011 19:54:42 GMT -5
I was gonna say. Even if it does end up 5-4, a LOT of people have prizes. And I've had a busy past 24 hours, so I haven't even gotten the chance to see who won what at the auction yet.
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Feb 2, 2011 2:15:50 GMT -5
And once again we are 2 for 2 with the blindsides... Pretty much that tripler sealed Lex's fate and there's two things that made this blindside amazing.
1) Rupert gave away the tripler Frosti gave him to Colleen, so that really dug the grave for Lex there, and they thought it was still in Rupert's hands.
2) Lex made a deal with Rupert, expecting him to give away his immunity necklace, which never happened.
It's great to see this game is picking up pace after how quiet the merge was, should definitely get a lot more interesting from here.
Oh and by the way, Cesternino's AIM has once again fooled Elisabeth lmao.
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Feb 4, 2011 0:31:03 GMT -5
klein wilhelm 10:33 pm
so
im going to be in the jury house
cuz
i am asking to be voted out
Well if he's going around asking to be voted out, then one of the two boots is pretty much set in stone for this round, I told him to try working with people about the vote, hopefully he listens, asking to be voted out is definitely not the way to go. The other one I have no idea what's going to happen, they've been surprising me these last few rounds so it could even be Colleen, although I'd be pretty shocked if it was, and this round is gonna be interesting considering the two targets this round have immunity around their necks.
|
|
|
|
Post by Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano on Feb 4, 2011 19:42:18 GMT -5
Okay so looks like he's back in game mode, apparently he was trying to get Colleen out, which honestly I think would be a hard feat to pull off if he asks the wrong person to help out. So he offered Alina a deal to get her to vote for Elisabeth, I don't get it at some points, he goes from throwing in a towel to coming up last minute with a plan to save himself.
|
|
